Fort Worth Commercial Real Estate Market Outlook 2026
Fort Worth enters 2026 with strong fundamentals and notable sector divergence.
Economic Context
Population and Employment:
Fort Worth metro population: 3.0+ millionUnemployment rate: 3.8% (below national average)Job growth in healthcare, logistics, professional services, and technologyNet in-migration from coastal markets continuingIndustrial Market Outlook
Fort Worth's industrial market remains the star performer.
2025 Year-End Statistics:
Total inventory: 415 million SFVacancy rate: 8.2%Average asking rent: $7.35 PSF NNNNet absorption: 12.5 million SF YTD2026 Forecast:
Vacancy: Stable around 8-9%Rents: Modest growth of 2-4%Construction: Development pipeline moderating significantlyOffice Market Outlook
The office market continues its transformation.
2025 Year-End Statistics:
Total inventory: 52 million SFOverall vacancy: 19.2%Class A vacancy: 16.5%Average Class A rent: $32.50 FSG2026 Forecast:
Vacancy: Modest improvement to 18-19%Class A rents stable; Class B rents decliningVirtually no new speculative developmentRetail Market Outlook
Retail has proven more resilient than predicted.
2025 Year-End Statistics:
Total inventory: 68 million SFVacancy rate: 5.8%Average asking rent: $18.50 NNN2026 Forecast:
Vacancy: Stable around 5-6%Rents: Moderate growth of 2-3%Experience-oriented tenants outperformingInvestment Market Outlook
Transaction volume recovering from 2023-2024 slowdown.
2026 Forecast:
Volume: 15-25% increase over 2025Cap rates stabilizing across sectorsIndustrial remains strongest investor demandStrategic Recommendations
For Tenants:
Office: Leverage current market for significant concessionsIndustrial: More options but quality space still competitiveRetail: Site selection critical; premium locations scarceFor Investors:
Industrial: Remain bullish but price carefullyOffice: Contrarian opportunity for well-capitalized buyersRetail: Grocery-anchored investments attractiveConclusion
Fort Worth commercial real estate enters 2026 with solid fundamentals and sector divergence. Success requires sector-specific strategy and local market knowledge.
Contact Daniel Weber at SVN Trinity Advisors to discuss your commercial real estate objectives.